Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.109907 2.403308 2.722226 3.094571 3.517345 3.982459 4.533014
2025-09-28 1.611757 2.001833 2.462876 3.047810 3.770184 4.633243 5.743234
2025-10-05 1.448463 1.909376 2.486419 3.261536 4.275566 5.557489 7.302539
2025-10-12 1.265770 1.752470 2.391374 3.290889 4.524766 6.158700 8.489123
2025-10-19 1.156487 1.670779 2.374213 3.405741 4.879946 6.912042 9.929591
2025-10-26 1.027026 1.541701 2.272160 3.383283 5.030871 7.385273 11.010294
2025-11-02 0.922423 1.434114 2.185314 3.366925 5.179077 7.855270 12.114218
2025-11-09 0.823170 1.322235 2.078287 3.305141 5.246472 8.202311 13.052761
2025-11-16 0.763286 1.263953 2.044998 3.349758 5.475467 8.805413 14.428075
2025-11-23 0.709978 1.209983 2.011887 3.388726 5.694434 9.404506 15.839948
2025-11-30 0.653372 1.144439 1.953037 3.378079 5.827792 9.871363 17.067098
2025-12-07 0.595072 1.070028 1.872074 3.321316 5.875786 10.196291 18.075229
2025-12-14 0.542460 1.004072 1.805573 3.294265 5.991672 10.678047 19.457521
2025-12-21 0.490949 0.935459 1.729061 3.244280 6.066573 11.103277 20.796571
2025-12-28 0.485262 0.950174 1.802206 3.471668 6.662895 12.503241 24.030749
2026-01-04 0.453238 0.911324 1.772492 3.502894 6.894982 13.256670 26.125118
2026-01-11 0.435673 0.898511 1.790035 3.625078 7.309875 14.383798 29.032038
2026-01-18 0.402699 0.851346 1.736315 3.601187 7.434843 14.964116 30.915523
2026-01-25 0.373721 0.809289 1.688463 3.583785 7.569612 15.572208 32.905251
2026-02-01 0.342717 0.759743 1.620592 3.518056 7.597750 15.966541 34.487047
2026-02-08 0.325291 0.737576 1.607233 3.565522 7.866718 16.874003 37.224505
2026-02-15 0.308703 0.715534 1.591950 3.606977 8.125621 17.780400 40.037721
2026-02-22 0.289051 0.684593 1.554458 3.595650 8.266988 18.446397 42.380577